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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-04-17T21:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-04-17T21:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/30127/-1
CME Note: Faint filament eruption to the SE seen in SOHO LASCO C2 and a few frames of C3. The source is a filament eruption starting at 2024-04-17T20:04Z from AR 3638, best observed in SDO AIA 304 and GOES SUVI 304 as outflowing dark material, deflecting southeastward as it travels. This eruption is paired with very a impulsive double peaked C9.0 and C9.7 flare best seen in SDO AIA 131. Slight dimming and field line movement observed in SDO AIA 171/193/211 as well.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-04-21T14:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 63.75 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-04-18T22:15Z
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